Israel, it seems, has assassinated the political leader of Hamas, the organization that on October 7, 2023 killed 1,200 Israelis, including many children and women. The assassination was carried out ostentatiously in Tehran, where he was attending the inauguration of the country’s new President, delivering a humiliating blow to Iran.

Of course, if there was any hope for a ceasefire, it vanished along with the bullets of the assassination. Along with it also disappeared the hopes for the release of Israeli hostages.

All of this, the endless cycle of bloodshed in the Middle East, has become expected. And that is precisely the problem. That it is expected. Have you ever wondered why it is predictable? Have you realistically examined where this policy has led? What exactly is the problem that this cycle of bloodshed has no solution?

Now, after this assassination, Iran and Hamas will take the baton. They will feel the need to retaliate to satisfy their people’s demand for revenge, to appease them, to give them dignity, national pride.

Thus, they will target something in Israel, most likely near civilians, as they did a few days ago with the missile in a playground that killed so many Israeli children.

And then the Israelis will seek revenge.

And thus the cycle starts all over again.

Blinken, the U.S. Secretary of State, stated that U.S. officials were unaware and were not involved in the assassination attack. I don’t know how believable that is. But if they didn’t know, so much the worse. What was Netanyahu telling them all those days in Washington?
The international community watches with concern, but it is powerless to stop two simultaneous wars, one in Europe, in Ukraine, and the other in the Middle East.

Every time we have such an event, an assassination, an attack, the usual headline in the newspapers refers to an increased risk of a broader war.

Fortunately, until now, these predictions have not come to fruition. But how many such events must happen before a general war actually breaks out?