Nightmare Scenario with Turkey

Αssociated Press

FILE- A Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drone is seen shortly after its landing at an airport in Gecitkala, known as Lefkoniko in Greek, in Cyprus, Monday, Dec. 16, 2019. (DHA via AP)

A more nightmarish scenario for the preservation of the sovereignty of Greece and Cyprus could not be imagined than what the Wall Street Journal revealed and the Greek edition of The National Herald republished last week.

The report, which is full of important information and revelations, and which was most likely written in collaboration with the Turkish government, claims that Turkey is building drones – unmanned aircraft – capable of carrying up to four laser missiles and being in the air for up to 24 hours, radically altering conditions on the battlefield.

“…it is utilitarian, and reliable—qualities reminiscent of the Soviet Kalashnikov AK-47 rifle that changed warfare in the 20th century,” the WSJ noted.

Or, if you prefer a more dramatic example, it is like the invention of the big cannons that Sultan Mehmet used to shatter the walls of Constantinople.

Turkish drones seem to be the best in the world. And they are cheap to build.

Such is their effectiveness that it is “shifting the strategic balance around Turkey and Russia,” writes the WSJ.

They have wreaked havoc on tanks and air defense systems in battles with Russian-backed countries such as Syria, Libya, and Armenia.

Putin is so worried about them that he asked Erdogan – according to the newspaper – not to sell them to Ukraine for fear that this would upset the battlefield balance between the two countries.

“‘The implications are game changing,’ U.K. Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said in a speech last year, citing Syria’s heavy losses to Turkish drones,” according to WSJ.

The shift in the balance of military forces in favor of Turkey in the surrounding region inevitably affects all geostrategic balances in its favor.

Now, according to the WSJ, we can better understand Erdogan's arrogant behavior, the threats, the demand for changes in the terms of the Lausanne Treaty, Foreign Minister Cavusoglu’s recent provocative ‘private’ visit to Thrace, and the demand for a ‘two-state solution’ in Cyprus.

So, we have entered a new era in Greek-Turkish relations.

An era that has brought us Turkey’s unacceptable claims based on the technological superiority its military seems to have secured by building cheap but effective drones.

With these revealing comments about its capabilities, it is very likely that Turkey intends to send a message, in essence, to blackmail the countries of its region – and even the United States and Russia.

But it is certain that if that is what this is all about, that is, an attempt at blackmail, it will not end well for Turkey, as history has shown. Global powers know how to deal with upstart regional states – they too have cards to play pulled from their decks at the cutting edges of technology.